Certor

Verona – Napoli

Serie A · October 21, 2023

Verona 1–3 Napoli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Verona 15% X · 23% 2 · Napoli 62%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals0.84 – 1.90
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 21, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.