Certor

Verona – Napoli

Serie A · February 28, 2026

Verona 1–2 Napoli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Verona 15% X · 24% 2 · Napoli 61%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams to score43%
Expected goals0.72 – 1.75
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 28, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.