Certor

Verona – Parma

Serie A · November 23, 2025

Verona 1–2 Parma

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Verona 39% X · 30% 2 · Parma 31%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals1.25 – 1.10
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 22, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.