Villarreal – Alaves
La Liga · January 10, 2026
Villarreal
3–1
Alaves
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Villarreal 59%
X · 24%
2 · Alaves 17%
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Both teams to score | 46% |
| Expected goals | 1.75 – 0.82 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
January 9, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.