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Villarreal – Ath Bilbao

La Liga · November 5, 2023

Villarreal 2–3 Ath Bilbao

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Villarreal 44% X · 27% 2 · Ath Bilbao 29%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals1.39 – 1.07
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 3, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.