Certor

Villarreal – Barcelona

La Liga · August 27, 2023

Villarreal 3–4 Barcelona

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Villarreal 30% X · 25% 2 · Barcelona 45%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.24 – 1.59
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 25, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.