Certor

Villarreal – Elche

La Liga · March 8, 2026

Villarreal 2–1 Elche

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Villarreal 66% X · 20% 2 · Elche 14%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals2.14 – 0.90
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 6, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.