Certor

Villarreal – La Coruna

La Liga · September 5, 2026

Villarreal 2–3 La Coruna

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Villarreal 67% X · 19% 2 · La Coruna 14%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals2.26 – 0.93
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 5, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.