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Villarreal – Osasuna

La Liga · May 3, 2025

Villarreal 4–2 Osasuna

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Villarreal 58% X · 23% 2 · Osasuna 19%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.85 – 0.98
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 27, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.