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Villarreal – Real Madrid

La Liga · May 19, 2024

Villarreal 4–4 Real Madrid

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Villarreal 23% X · 21% 2 · Real Madrid 56%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams to score64%
Expected goals1.28 – 2.11
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 18, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.