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Villarreal – Real Madrid

La Liga · March 15, 2025

Villarreal 1–2 Real Madrid

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Villarreal 24% X · 21% 2 · Real Madrid 55%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Both teams to score65%
Expected goals1.34 – 2.11
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 15, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.