Certor

Volendam – Ajax

Eredivisie · May 5, 2024

Volendam 1–4 Ajax

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Volendam 9% X · 14% 2 · Ajax 77%
Over 2.5 goals79%
Both teams to score63%
Expected goals1.07 – 3.12
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 3, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.