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Werder Bremen – FC Koln

Bundesliga · September 23, 2023

Werder Bremen 2–1 FC Koln

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Werder Bremen 41% X · 28% 2 · FC Koln 31%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.52 – 1.30
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 22, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.