Certor

Werder Bremen – Heidenheim

Bundesliga · February 28, 2026

Werder Bremen 2–0 Heidenheim

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Werder Bremen 51% X · 26% 2 · Heidenheim 23%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.74 – 1.10
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 27, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.