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Werder Bremen – St Pauli

Bundesliga · October 4, 2025

Werder Bremen 1–0 St Pauli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Werder Bremen 42% X · 32% 2 · St Pauli 26%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.27 – 0.95
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 3, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.