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West Ham – Burnley

Premier League · November 8, 2025

West Ham 3–2 Burnley

final score

What we said before the match

1 · West Ham 51% X · 23% 2 · Burnley 26%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals1.84 – 1.24
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 8, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.