Certor

West Ham – Chelsea

Premier League · August 22, 2025

West Ham 1–5 Chelsea

final score

What we said before the match

1 · West Ham 23% X · 23% 2 · Chelsea 54%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.15 – 1.85
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 22, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.