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West Ham – Man City

Premier League · September 16, 2023

West Ham 1–3 Man City

final score

What we said before the match

1 · West Ham 15% X · 20% 2 · Man City 65%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals0.80 – 1.94
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 16, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.