Certor

West Ham – Man City

Premier League · March 14, 2026

West Ham 1–1 Man City

final score

What we said before the match

1 · West Ham 14% X · 20% 2 · Man City 66%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals0.93 – 2.22
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 14, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.