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Wolfsburg – Bayern Munich

Bundesliga · December 20, 2023

Wolfsburg 1–2 Bayern Munich

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Wolfsburg 17% X · 21% 2 · Bayern Munich 62%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams to score63%
Expected goals1.17 – 2.33
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 15, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.