Certor

Wolfsburg – Bayern Munich

Bundesliga · May 9, 2026

Wolfsburg 0–1 Bayern Munich

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Wolfsburg 10% X · 14% 2 · Bayern Munich 76%
Over 2.5 goals77%
Both teams to score63%
Expected goals1.06 – 3.02
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 9, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.