Certor

Wolfsburg – FC Koln

Bundesliga · September 13, 2025

Wolfsburg 3–3 FC Koln

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Wolfsburg 48% X · 28% 2 · FC Koln 24%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals1.62 – 1.09
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 12, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.