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Wolves – Aston Villa

Premier League · February 27, 2026

Wolves 2–0 Aston Villa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Wolves 25% X · 28% 2 · Aston Villa 47%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals1.06 – 1.53
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 27, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.