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Zwolle – AZ Alkmaar

Eredivisie · January 17, 2026

Zwolle 3–1 AZ Alkmaar

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Zwolle 23% X · 23% 2 · AZ Alkmaar 54%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams to score59%
Expected goals1.19 – 1.90
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 17, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.